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Saturday, February 28, 2009

Prediction of Dow Jones Index

This is just a prediction based on depression occurred in 1929, which assume half worst effect on dow index.



Saturday, February 21, 2009

Genting (GENT)- Is it a deal?



By looking at the 2008 financial report, the fair price of this stock is RM1.99 if company performance of 2009 is projected with same EPS as year 2008. The worst case calculation on NAPS is RM2.46 and this make this fair price of RM1.99 attractive because stockholder tend to over penalize this stock over the pass year.

Google for "Genting Analysis" and You shall find the previous analysis on WHY min historical PE is 13 Or CLICK HERE

Bank of America (BAC)

Annual Revenue of 08 to 09 was reduced from 119bil to 113bil and net profit drop from 14.9bil to 4bil. As of dec 08, Net asset value is 1,537bil and the NAPS is USD0.30. Beware with the long term debt of USD299-bil w.r.t the cash in hand of USD32-bil.

Forecast that the bank sector might not fully recover on 2009 and it's share price may potentially head to deeper downward if Q1-09 result is not encouraging.

Deal: From buying business perspective, NAPS of $0.30 vs 2/20 trading price of USD3.93, is there a safety margin exist? You can know the answer yourself.

Rating: Not recommended to buy at this price.

Saturday, February 7, 2009

Stock Evaluation Update: Motorola, Nokia, Intel, Altera, Xilinx, Apple, Genting



Note: Margin need to pay to privatize a company indicate the amount of additional money to pay per current share trading price. Genting is likely trading at the lower price per the total net asset price.